Want to know something?
Well I don’t care if you don’t, you’re going to know something anyways. Anyways, I thought about something one night…
I wonder if taking out passes defensed from completion percentage attempts would find something worthwhile
And, as it turns out, it might have, and the inspiration comes from the ultimate statistical sport; baseball. In baseball, DIPS, or Defense Independent Pitching Statistics measures how good a pitcher actually is, taking out errors by the fielders.
Similar concept, but a little different at the same time. DICP attempts to measure how good of a connection and how good of a chemistry a QB has with his receivers.
DICP takes out all interceptions and passes batted down from the attempts, and then uses the same process that one would use to figure out the regular completion percentage.
Anyways, here’s the results for two BCS conferences…..
Team – DICP – Starter
Alabama – 84.3% – Greg McElroy
Arkansas – 73.8% – Ryan Mallett
Auburn – 74.3% – Cam Newton
Florida – 69.5% – John Brantley
Georgia – 69.2% – Aaron Murray
Kentucky – 72.3% – Mike Hartline
LSU – 69.8% – Jordan Jefferson/Jarrett Lee
Mississippi – 64.5% – Jereimiah Masoli
Mississippi State – 69.0% – Chris Relf
South Carolina – 74.8% – Stephen Garcia
Tennessee – 67.6% – Matt Simms/Tyler Bray
Vanderbilt – 54.0% – Jared Funk/Larry Smith
The results for the SEC are about what you expect. Alabama’s Greg McElroy had the best overall DICP in the SEC with an amazing 84% of his passes completed without factoring in defense(that’s about 5/6ths of his passes complete, BTW).
Mike Hartline is one guy that a lot of people wouldn’t expect to be so good. His DICP is around 72%, which might only be 5th in the conference, but it’s still a pretty decent percentage.